Demographic feedbacks in ecological forecasting

Demographic feedbacks in ecological forecastingDemographic feedbacks in ecological forecastingDemographic feedbacks in ecological forecasting
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Demographic feedbacks in ecological forecasting

Demographic feedbacks in ecological forecastingDemographic feedbacks in ecological forecastingDemographic feedbacks in ecological forecasting
  • Home
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    • study systems
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    • collaborations
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2025

  1. Bond ML, Behr DM, Lee DE, Strauss MKL, Campell PE, Cavener DR, Lohay GG, Madeli JM, Paniw M, Ozgul A. Demographic drivers of population dynamics reveal subpopulation-specific conservation needs for giraffes in the Serengeti Ecosystem. Journal of Wildlife Management, in press. Link
  2. Serediuk S, Yáñez da Silva C, Paniw M. Antlions (Myrmeleontidae) of Doñana National Park (Spain). Boletín de la Asociación Española de Entomología, (1-2): 43-60. Link

2013-2024

  1. Navarro L, Cosentino F, Hermoso V, Maiorano L, Paniw M, Revilla E, Sacchi A, Santini L, Tablado Z, Thuiller W. 2024. Data availability on European biodiversity, drivers and protected areas and gap analysis for European tetrapods. ARPHA Preprints.
  2. Bliard L, Martin JS, Paniw M, Blumstein DT, Martin JGA, Pemberton JM, Nussey DH, Childs DZ, Ozgul A. (2024) Detecting context- dependence in the expression of demographic tradeoffs. Journal of Animal Ecology, in press. Link
  3. Stears A, Heidel B, Paniw M, Salguero-Gómez R, Laughlin D. 2024. Negative density dependence promotes persistence of a globally rare yet locally abundant plant species (Oenothera coloradensis). Oikos, e10673. Link
  4. Conquet E, Paniw M, Borrego N, Nater CR, Packer C, Ozgul A. 2024. Multifaceted density dependence: Social structure and seasonality effects on Serengeti lion demography. Journal of Animal Ecology 93:1493-1509. Link (Journal cover)
  5. Serediuk H, Jackson J, Evers SM, Paniw M. 2024. Comparative life-history responses of lacewings to changes in temperature. Ecology and Evolution 14:e70000. Link
  6. Touzot L, Paniw M. 2024. Are some species more sensitive to environmental change than others? It may all depend on the context. Research Highlight. Journal of Animal Ecology 93:659-662. Link
  7. Bliard L, Paniw M, Childs DZ, Ozgul A. 2024. Population dynamic consequences of context-dependent tradeoffs across life histories. American Naturalist 203. Link
  8. Román J, Rodríguez C, Garcia-Rodriguez A, Diez-Virto I, Gutiérrez-Expósito C, Jubete F, Paniw M, Clavero M, Revilla E, D'Amico M. 2024. Beyond crippling bias: carcass-location bias in roadkill studies. Conservation Science and Practice 6:e13103. Link
  9. Bond ML, Lee DE, Paniw M. 2023. Extinction risks and mitigation for a megaherbivore, the giraffe, in a human-influenced landscape under climate change. Global Change Biology 29:6693-6712. Link
  10. Botting I, Ascensão F, Navarro L, Paniw M, Tablado Z, Román J, Revilla E, D'Amico M. 2023. The road to success and the fences to be crossed: considering multiple infrastructure in landscape connectivity modelling. Wildlife Biology 2025:e01187.Link
  11. Paniw M, García Callejas D, Lloret F, Bassar R, Travis J, Godoy O. 2023. Pathways to global-change effects on biodiversity: A case for dynamically forecasting demography and species interactions. Proceedings B Roy Soc 290. Link
  12. Ozgul A, Fichtel C, Paniw M, Kappeler PM. 2023. Destabilising effect of climate change on the persistence of a short-lived primate. PNAS 120, e2214244120. Link
  13. Paniw M, Cousens R, Baker C, Le T. 2023. Theory, prediction and application. Effective Ecology: Seeking Success in a Hard Science. Taylor & Francis/CRC Press. Online version here.
  14. Conquet E, Ozgul A, Blumstein D, Armitage K, Oli M, Martin J, Clutton-Brock T, Paniw M. 2022. Demographic consequences of changes in environmental periodicity. Ecology 104: e3894. Link
  15. Paniw M, Duncan C, Groenewoud F, Drewe J, Manser M, Ozgul A, Clutton-Brock T. 2022. Higher temperature extremes exacerbate negative disease effects in a social mammal. Nature Climate Change 12: 284–290. pdf. View-only.
  16. Archer CR, Paniw M, Vega-Trejo R, Sepil I. 2022. A sex-skew in life history and ageing research - the problem of missing males. Proceedings B 289:20221117. Link
  17. Gómez-González S, Paniw M, Blanco-Pastor JL, Garcia-Cervigon A, Godoy O, Herrera J, Lara A, Miranda A, Ojeda F, Ochoa-Hueso R. 2022. Moving towards the ecological intensification of forest plantations.Trends in Plant Science 27:637-645. pdf
  18. Paniw M, Maag N, Cozzi G, Manser M, Clutton-Brock T, Ozgul A. 2022. Dispersal decreases survival but increases reproductive opportunities for subordinates in a cooperative breeder. American Naturalist 199:679-690. pdf
  19. Schmid M, Paniw M, Postuma M, Ozgul A, Guillaume F. 2022. A tradeoff between robustness to environmental fluctuations and speed of evolution. American Naturalist 200. pdf
  20. Paniw M, de la Riva E, Lloret F.  2021. Demographic traits improve predictions of spatiotemporal changes in community resilience to drought, Journal of Ecology 9:3233-3245. article; pdf Blog by CREAF. Shortlisted for 2021 Harper Prize by BES. 
  21. Paniw M, Cozzi G, Sommer S, Ozgul A. 2021. Demographic processes in socially structured populations. In Gamelon M, Salguero-Gómez R. (eds.) Demographic Methods Across the Tree of Life, Oxford University Press. Link to publisher.
  22. Compagnoni A, Levin S, Childs DZ, Harpole S, Paniw M, Römer G,  Burns JH, Che-Castaldo J, Rüger N,  Kunstler G, Bennett JM, Archer CR, Jones OR, Salguero-Gómez R, Knight TM. 2021. Herbaceous perennial plants with short generation time have stronger responses to climate anomalies than those with longer generation time. Nature Communications 12: 1824. pdf
  23. Paniw M, James T, Archer CR, Römer G, Levin S, Compagnoni A, Che-Castaldo J, Bennett JM, Mooney M, Childs DZ, Ozgul A, Jones OR, Burns JH, Beckerman AP, Patwary A, Sanchez-Gassen N, Knight TM, Salguero-Gómez R. 2021. The myriad of complex demographic responses of terrestrial mammals to climate change and gaps of knowledge: A global analysis. Journal of Animal Ecology 90:1398-1407. pdf Blog by BES. Blog on COMADRE.
  24. Ojeda F, Carrera C, García-Moreno L, Paniw M, Barbero G, Palma, M. 2021. Volatile and semi-volatile organic compounds may help reduce pollinator-prey overlap in the carnivorous plant Drosophyllum lusitanicum (Drosophyllaceae). Journal of Chemical Ecology 47: 73-86. Link
  25. Brewer S, Paniw M, Ojeda F.  2021. Plant behavior and coexistence: stem elongation of the carnivorous subshrub Drosophyllum lusitanicum within xerophytic shrub canopies. Plant Ecology 222:1197–1208. pdf
  26. Gómez-González S, Paniw M, Durán M, Picó S, Martín-Rodríguez I, Fernando Ojeda. 2020. Mediterranean heathland as a key habitat for fire adaptations: Evidence from an experimental approach. Forests 11:748. Link 
  27. Paniw M, Childs DZ, Armitage KB, Blumstein DT, Martin J, Oli MK, Ozgul A. 2020. Assessing seasonal demographic covariation to understand environmental‐change impacts on a hibernating mammal. Ecology Letters 23:588-597. Link
  28. Postuma M, Schmid M, Guillaume F, Ozgul A, Paniw M. 2020. The effect of temporal environmental autocorrelation on eco‐evolutionary dynamics across life histories. Ecosphere 11:e03029. Link
  29. Paniw M, Maag N, Cozzi G, Clutton-Brock T, Ozgul A. 2019. Life history responses of meerkats to seasonal changes in extreme environments. Science 363:631-635. Ecological Forecasting Outstanding Publication Award.
  30. Skates LM, Paniw M, Cross AT, Ojeda F, Dixon KW, Stevens JC, Gebauer G. 2019. An ecological perspective on ‘plant carnivory beyond bogs’: nutritional benefits of prey capture for the Mediterranean carnivorous plant Drosophyllum lusitanicum. Annals of Botany 124: 65-76. Link
  31. Paniw M. 2019. Integrando mecanismos evolutivos y dinámica de poblaciones de plantas: una perspectiva desde la demografía animal. Ecosistemas 28:60-68. Link. English version preprint here.
  32. Paniw M, Ozgul A, Salguero‐Gómez R. 2018. Interactive life‐history traits predict sensitivity of plants and animals to temporal autocorrelation. Ecology Letters 21:275-286. Link
  33. Villar-Navarro E, Baena-Nogueras RM, Paniw M, Perales JA, Lara-Martín PA. 2018. Removal of pharmaceuticals in urban wastewater: High rate algae pond (HRAP) based technologies as an alternative to activated sludge based processes. Water Research 139:19-29. Link 
  34. Paniw M, Salguero-Gómez R, Ojeda F. Transient facilitation of resprouting shrubs in fire-prone habitats. Journal of Plant Ecology 11:475-483. Link
  35. Gómez-González S, Paniw M, Antunes K, Ojeda F. 2018. Heat shock and plant leachates regulate seed germination of the endangered carnivorous plant Drosophyllum lusitanicum. Web Ecology 18:7-13. Link 
  36. Cross A, Paniw M, Scatigna A, Kalfas N, Anderson B, Givnish T, Fleischmann A. 2018. Systematics and evolution of small genera of carnivorous plants. In Carnivorous Plants: Physiology, Ecology, and Evolution pp. 120-134. Link 
  37. Paniw M, Quintana‐Ascencio PF, Ojeda F, Salguero‐Gómez R. 2017. Interacting livestock and fire may both threaten and increase viability of a fire‐adapted Mediterranean carnivorous plant. Journal of Applied Ecology 54:1884-1894. Link
  38. Paniw M, Quintana‐Ascencio PF, Ojeda F, Salguero‐Gómez R. 2017. Accounting for uncertainty in dormant life stages in stochastic demographic models. Oikos 126:900-909. Link
  39. Corada-Fernández C, Candela L, Torres-Fuentes N, Pintado-Herrera MG, Paniw M, González-Mazo E. 2017. Effects of extreme rainfall events on the distribution of selected emerging contaminants in surface and groundwater: The Guadalete River basin (SW, Spain). Science of the Total Environment 605:770-783.
  40. Paniw M, Gil-Cabeza E, Ojeda F. 2017. Plant carnivory beyond bogs: reliance on prey feeding in Drosophyllum lusitanicum (Drosophyllaceae) in dry Mediterranean heathland habitats. Annals of Botany 119:1035-1041. Link
  41. Cross AT, Paniw M, Ojeda F, Turner SR, Dixon KW, Merritt DJ. 2017. Defining the role of fire in alleviating seed dormancy in a rare Mediterranean endemic subshrub. AoB Plants 9:plx036. Link 
  42. Salces-Castellano A, Paniw M, Casimiro-Soriguer R, Ojeda F. 2016. Attract them anyway: benefits of large, showy flowers in a highly autogamous, carnivorous plant species. AoB Plants 8:plw017. Link
  43. Paniw M, Salguero‐Gómez R, Ojeda F. 2015. Local-scale disturbances can benefit an endangered, fire-adapted plant species in Western Mediterranean heathlands in the absence of fire. Biological Conservation 187:74-81. Link 
  44. Bertol N, Paniw M, Ojeda F. 2015. Effective prey attraction in the rare Drosophyllum lusitanicum, a flypaper‐trap carnivorous plant.  American Journal of Botany 102:689-694. Link 
  45. Paniw M, Gil-López MJ, Segarra-Moragues JG. 2014. Isolation and characterization of microsatellite loci in the carnivorous subshrub Drosophyllum lusitanicum (Drosophyllaceae). Biochemical Systematics and Ecology 100:416-419. Link
  46. Simpson M (former last name), Prots B. 2013. Predicting the distribution of invasive plants in the Ukrainian Carpathians under climatic change and intensification of anthropogenic disturbances: implications for biodiversity conservation. Environmental Conservation 40:167-181. Link 

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